Should I invest in TQQQ or QQQ?
TQQQ seeks daily returns that are three times those of the QQQ (before fees and expenses.) QQQ experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TQQQ. Therefore, QQQ is best suited for long-term buy-and-hold investors, while TQQQ is better for active taders. Invesco.
The performance of an investment option is often one of the most critical aspects investors consider. TQQQ is a leveraged ETF that aims to generate 3x the performance of the Nasdaq 100 Index. As a result, since QQQ tracks the performance of the Nasdaq 100 index, we expect TQQQ to generate higher returns than QQQ.
Does QQQ outperform SPY? As of April 3, 2023, QQQ has outperformed SPY in terms of long-term performance (1 year and more). On a 1-3 month horizon, SPY leads. However, this does not mean that SPY is better suited for short-term investments.
In light of the above risks, it is clear that the buy-and-hold TQQQ strategy is not suitable for all investors. While it has the potential to deliver outsized returns during periods of sustained market growth, it carries significant risks during market downturns.
Summary. QQQ appears to be the single best long-term investment option for investors seeking total returns due to its ability to expose holders to top U.S. companies on an ongoing basis.
Historical data shows that leveraged ETFs can experience significant losses during market downturns, and negative returns can accumulate over time. Indicators suggest that a bubble may be forming in the Nasdaq-100 and that a recession could be on the horizon, making investing in TQQQ too risky.
"They all go to 0 over time." "If you hold them for more than a few days, you will lose money." The 3x Long Nasdaq 100 ETF (TQQQ) was launched in February 2010, over 8 years ago. Since its inception, it has advanced 4,357%, versus a gain of 378% for the unleveraged Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).
The problems with Invesco QQQ Trust
The number one biggest problem with Invesco QQQ Trust is that a small number of stocks make up a large percentage of the fund. That's not the fund's fault, it is simply tracking the index. But you can't ignore this lack of diversification.
The QQQ ETF offers buy-and-hold investors low expenses and long-term growth potential with enough diversification to avoid the risks of betting on one company. On the downside, long-term investors in QQQ must deal with sector risk, possible overvaluation, and the absence of small caps.
Invesco QQQ Market Price: YTD: 54.85%; 1YR: 54.85%; 3YR: 9.98%; 5YR: 22.40%; 10YR: 17.66%; Since Inception: 9.44%.
What's the longest you should hold TQQQ?
While the Fund has a daily investment objective, you may hold Fund shares for longer than one day if you believe it is consistent with your goals and risk tolerance. For any holding period other than a day, your return may be higher or lower than the Daily Target. These differences may be significant.
TQQQ holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.
![Should I invest in TQQQ or QQQ? (2024)](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/OfLXsX6_plM/hq720.jpg?sqp=-oaymwEcCNAFEJQDSFXyq4qpAw4IARUAAIhCGAFwAcABBg==&rs=AOn4CLB0Ov_WC0w0LPDT27XGZ5oO4qNYBA)
Cons of TQQQ
Market risk: Leverage funds like TQQQ can see extreme swings in prices, which makes this ETF too risky for investors who have a low tolerance for volatility. Expenses: Most ETFs have expense ratios below 0.20%, whereas the expenses for TQQQ are 0.95%, or $95 for every $10,000 invested.
Risk 1: Market risk
Although QQQ and other ETFs have helped democratize investing, the benefits of the ETF structure don't remove any of the inherent risks of investing in stocks, bonds, real estate, and other asset classes.
For 2024, the S&P 500 is forecast to deliver EPS growth of 11.7%, solidly above the 10-year average of 8.4%. QQQ and QQQM follow the Nasdaq-100 Index. That benchmark has a long history of delivering EPS growth well in excess of the S&P 500.
Invesco QQQ stock price stood at $426.51
According to the latest long-term forecast, Invesco QQQ price will hit $450 by the end of 2024 and then $500 by the middle of 2025. Invesco QQQ will rise to $600 within the year of 2027, $700 in 2028, $800 in 2029, $900 in 2032 and $1000 in 2034.
TQQQ is not designed for long term holding. TQQQ is essentially exposing yourself to 3X the risk. Putting $10K into TQQQ is like putting $30K into QQQ. And, due to the way the ETF works, it will underperform during sideways and down markets, sometimes significantly (like all of 2022).
TQQQ vs QQQ performance
For example, in the past five years, the TQQQ ETF has risen by more than 457% while QQQ has jumped by 174% in the same period. Take note that TQQQ's total returns did were not 522% (or 174×3). This happened because TQQQ is only interested in the daily performance ofthe Nasdaq 100 index.
ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) is also an ETF that is simply a leveraged version of QQQ by 3X. Meaning that if QQQ is up 1%, TQQQ would theoretically be up 3%, and the same ratio would be applied if QQQ falls 1%. This is accomplished by utilizing derivatives and leveraging to provide the 3X return of QQQ.
Since they maintain a fixed level of leverage, 3x ETFs eventually face complete collapse if the underlying index declines more than 33% on a single day. Even if none of these potential disasters occur, 3x ETFs have high fees that add up to significant losses in the long run.
Does TQQQ rebalance daily?
Investors should note that TQQQ's leverage resets on a daily basis, which results in compounding of returns when held for multiple periods. TQQQ can be a powerful tool for sophisticated investors, but should be avoided by those with a low risk tolerance or a buy-and-hold strategy.
TQQQ is a 3x leveraged ETF from ProShares that aims to deliver 3x the daily returns of the NASDAQ 100 Index. Explaining how a leveraged ETF works is beyond the scope of this post, but I delved into that a bit here. Basically, these funds provide enhanced exposure without additional capital by using debt and swaps.
Ticker | Fund name | 5-year return |
---|---|---|
SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | 30.70% |
XLK | Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund | 24.57% |
IYW | iShares U.S. Technology ETF | 24.09% |
FTEC | Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF | 22.79% |
ETF | Assets Under Management | Expense Ratio |
---|---|---|
Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) | $259 billion | 0.20% |
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) | $55 billion | 0.06% |
Vanguard Total International Stock ETF (VXUS) | $69 billion | 0.08% |
Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT) | $35 billion | 0.07% |
- ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO)
- Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)
- Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT)
- VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)
- Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF (XMMO)
- SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB)
- Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF (SPGP)
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